TU NO ESTAS SOLO EN ESTE MUNDO. YOU ARE NOT ALONE SI TE HA GUSTADO UN ARTICULO, COMPARTELO

Thursday, November 24, 2011

Thanksgiving and Marginal Utility

Thanksgiving and Marginal Utility

Mises Daily: Thursday, November 24, 2011 by

A
A
Thank you!

[LewRockwell.com, 2005]

O give thanks unto the LORD; for he is good: for his mercy endureth for ever. O give thanks unto the God of gods: for his mercy endureth for ever. O give thanks to the Lord of lords: for his mercy endureth for ever (Psalm 136:1–3)

This phrase appears in many of the psalms, but when you find the same phrase three times in a row, you can safely conclude that the writer was trying to make a point, and he thought the point was important. I know of no passage in the Bible where any other phrase appears three times in succession.

Thanksgiving Day is an old tradition in the United States. Although it was not the first such thanksgiving feast, the holiday had its origins in Plymouth Colony, in the fall of 1621, when the Pilgrims who had survived the first year invited Chief Massasoit to a feast, and he showed up with 90 braves and five deer. The feast lasted three days.

There had been a thanksgiving day of prayer and a feast in Maine in 1607. The tiny colony was abandoned a year later. There had also been a thanksgiving service in Jamestown in 1610, but it did not involve a feast.

The first official Thanksgiving Day was celebrated on June 29, 1676 in Charlestown, Massachusetts, across the Charles River from Boston. But Gov. Jonathan Belcher had issued similar proclamations in Massachusetts in 1730 and in New Jersey in 1749. George Washington proclaimed a day of thanksgiving on October 23, 1789, to be celebrated on Thursday, November 27. In 1863, Abraham Lincoln officially restored it as a wartime measure. The holiday then became an American tradition. It became law in 1941.

Lincoln was a strange contradiction religiously. He was a religious skeptic, yet he invoked the rhetoric of the King James Bible — accurately — on many occasions. His political rhetoric, which had been deeply influenced by his reading of the King James, was often masterful. For example, when he spoke of the cemetery of the Gettysburg battlefield as "this hallowed ground," using the King James word for holy, as in "hallowed be thy name," he was seeking to infuse the battle of Gettysburg with sacred meaning — a use of religious terminology that was as morally abhorrent as it was rhetorically successful. It is the sacraments that are sacred, not monuments to man's bloody destructiveness. In that same year, 1863, he used biblical themes in his October 3 Thanksgiving Day proclamation.

It is the duty of nations as well as of men to own their dependence upon the overruling power of God; to confess their sins and transgressions in humble sorrow, yet with assured hope that genuine repentance will lead to mercy and pardon; and to recognize the sublime truth, announced in the Holy Scriptures and proven by all history, that those nations are blessed whose God is the Lord.

He went on, in the tradition of a Puritan Jeremiad sermon, to attribute the calamity of the Civil War to the nation's sins, conveniently ignoring the biggest contributing sin of all in the coming of that war: his own steadfast determination to collect the national tariff in Southern ports.

In his proclamation, he made an important and accurate theological point.

We have been the recipients of the choisest bounties of heaven; we have been preserved these many years in peace and prosperity; we have grown in numbers, wealth and power as no other nation has ever grown.

But we have forgotten God. We have forgotten the gracious hand which preserved us in peace and multiplied and enriched and strengthened us, and we have vainly imagined, in the deceitfulness of our hearts, that all these blessings were produced by some superior wisdom and virtue of our own. Intoxicated with unbroken success, we have become too self-sufficient to feel the necessity of redeeming and preserving grace, too proud to pray to the God that made us.

This observation leads to the same question that Moses raised long before Lincoln's proclamation: Why is it that men become less thankful as their blessings increase?

Less than a decade after Lincoln's proclamation, three economists came up with the theoretical insight that provides an answer.

Marginal Utility Theory

In the early 1870s, Carl Menger, William Stanley Jevons, and Leon Walras simultaneously and independently discovered the principle of marginal utility. Their discovery transformed economic analysis.

They observed that value, like beauty, is subjectively determined. Value is imputed — a familiar Calvinist theological concept — to scarce resources by the acting individual. Other things remaining equal, including tastes, the individual imputes less value to each additional unit of any good that he receives as income. This is the principle of marginal utility.

This can be put another way. We can say that each additional unit of any resource that a person receives as income satisfies a value that is lower on that individual's subjective scale of value. He satisfied the next-higher value with the previous unit of income.

This provides a preliminary solution to the original question. I call this solution the declining marginal utility of thankfulness. People look at the value of what they have just received as income, and they are less impressed than they were with the previous unit of income. They focus on the immediate — "What have you done for me lately?" — rather than the aggregate level of their existing capital. They conclude, "What's past is past; what matters most is whatever comes next."

Modern economic theory discounts the past to zero. The past is gone; it is not a matter of human action. Whatever you spent to achieve your present condition in life is no longer a matter of human action. The economist calls this lost world "sunk costs."

There is a major problem in thinking this way. It is the problem of saying "thank you." The child is taught to say "thank you." He is not told to do this because, by saying "thank you," he is more likely to get another gift in the future. He is taught to say "thank you" as a matter of politeness.

I am sure that there is some University of Chicago-trained economist out there who is ready to explain etiquette as a matter of self-interest: "getting more in the future for a minimal expenditure of scarce economic resources." And, I must admit, people who never say "thank you" do tend to receive fewer gifts. Or, as Moses put it,

And thou say in thine heart, My power and the might of mine hand hath gotten me this wealth. But thou shalt remember the LORD thy God: for it is he that giveth thee power to get wealth, that he may establish his covenant which he sware unto thy fathers, as it is this day. (Deuteronomy 8:17–18)

But Moses added an "or else" clause: "And it shall be, if thou do at all forget the LORD thy God, and walk after other gods, and serve them, and worship them, I testify against you this day that ye shall surely perish" (verse 19). Gary Becker would no doubt put it differently, but the point regarding reduced future income is the same: lower. Maybe way, way lower.

The problem is, we look to the present, not to the past. We look at the marginal unit — the unit of economic decision-making — and not at the aggregate that we have accumulated. We assume that whatever we already possess is well-deserved — merited, we might say — and then we focus our attention on that next, hoped-for "util" of income.

As economic actors, we should recognize that the reason why we are allocating our latest unit of income to a satisfaction that is lower on our value scale is because we already possess so much. We are awash in wealth. We are the beneficiaries of a social order based on private ownership and free exchange, a social order that has made middle-class people rich beyond the wildest dreams of kings a century and a half ago. Or, as P.J. O'Rourke has observed, "if you think that, in the past, there was some golden age of pleasure and plenty … let me say one single word: 'dentistry.'"

About half of the Pilgrims who arrived in Plymouth in 1620 were dead a year later. The Indians really did save the colony by showing the first winter's survivors what to plant and how to plant it in the spring of 1621. The Pilgrims really did rejoice at that festival. They were lucky — graced, they would have said — to be alive.

So are we. Ludwig von Mises wrote in Human Action (VIII:8) that social Darwinism was wrong. The principle of the survival of the fittest does not apply to the free market social order. The free market's division of labor has enabled millions of people to survive — today, billions — who would otherwise have perished.

So, give thanks to God today, even if your only god is the free market. You did not obtain all that you possess all by yourself. The might of your hands did not secure it for you. A little humility is in order on this one day of the year. Yes, even if you earned a PhD at the University of Chicago.

Fuente:

Saludos
Rodrigo González Fernández
Diplomado en "Responsabilidad Social Empresarial" de la ONU
Diplomado en "Gestión del Conocimiento" de la ONU
Diplomado en Gerencia en Administracion Publica ONU
Diplomado en Coaching Ejecutivo ONU( 
  • PUEDES LEERNOS EN FACEBOOK
 
 
 
 CEL: 93934521
Santiago- Chile
Soliciten nuestros cursos de capacitación  y consultoría en GERENCIA ADMINISTRACION PUBLICA -LIDERAZGO -  GESTION DEL CONOCIMIENTO - RESPONSABILIDAD SOCIAL EMPRESARIAL – LOBBY – COACHING EMPRESARIAL-ENERGIAS RENOVABLES   ,  asesorías a nivel nacional e  internacional y están disponibles  para OTEC Y OTIC en Chile

Wednesday, November 23, 2011

Gobierno presenta nueva propuesta en Educación y traslada lobby al Senado

Gobierno presenta nueva propuesta en Educación y traslada lobby al Senado

Ministro Bulnes entregó ayer al senador Andrés Zaldívar un texto con 13 puntos en el que se mejora la oferta hecha la semana pasada.

por D. Muñoz y J.M. Wilson
Ampliar

Mientras en el hemiciclo del Senado se debatía el proyecto que otorga un salvataje financiero a colegios afectados por el conflicto estudiantil, en una pequeña sala contigua, el grupo de negociadores de la oposición para el Presupuesto 2012 sostuvo, durante la tarde de ayer, un reservado encuentro.

La cita tenía como finalidad analizar la última oferta del gobierno para destrabar los recursos para el Ministerio de Educación, rechazada durante la madrugada por la Cámara de Diputados.

El texto de 13 puntos, al cual tuvo acceso La Tercera (ver nota aparte), había sido entregado horas antes por el ministro Felipe Bulnes al jefe de la bancada DC, Andrés Zaldívar, con miras a la votación del erario prevista para hoy en la Cámara Alta.

El último ofrecimiento, sin embargo, no contempla un cálculo global de los nuevos recursos comprometidos, por lo que los negociadores opositores, que exigen una inyección adicional de US$ 1.000 millones, mandataron a sus equipos técnicos para cuantificar las medidas. En todo caso, según fuentes oficialistas, la nueva oferta de La Moneda ascendería a cerca de US$ 460 millones extra para educación, superando en más de US$ 100 millones lo contemplado en la propuesta hecha a la oposición el jueves de la semana pasada.

Aunque el nuevo documento incluía mejoras leves respecto al planteamiento hecho previamente, sectores de la Concertación valoraban anoche la inclusión de ciertas definiciones conceptuales, como en la fijación de aranceles de casas de estudio y la administración de los créditos (para lo cual se propone la creación de una agencia única). Además de elevar los recursos en becas, la propuesta establece un alza en subvención preescolar y entregaba mayores fondos a universidades estatales y regionales.

En el oficialismo afirman que, luego de la dura ofensiva desplegada en la Cámara de Diputados, la oferta formalizada ayer busca dar un plan de salida a la oposición de cara a las votaciones en el Senado. Según señalan, si bien La Moneda mantendrá abierto el diálogo hasta el último día de la tramitación del Presupuesto, la entregada ayer a la oposición será la última propuesta con compromiso de nuevos recursos.

A juicio de los análisis gubernamentales, la oposición dejó a sus senadores con escazo margen de acción luego del rechazo a la partida del Mineduc en la Cámara, por cuanto ahora está obligada a aprobar el Presupuesto en la Cámara Alta, si quiere aspirar a una comisión mixta. La tesis compartida ayer por ministros y parlamentarios del bloque oficialista apunta a que la Concertación no está en condiciones de pagar los costos de un rechazo definitivo de los recursos para educación.

Los escenarios que se barajan en la oposición y el gobierno son, básicamente, cuatro. Primero, llegar a acuerdo en el Senado. Segundo, forzar una comisión mixta para seguir negociando. Tercero, que la oposición rechace completamente los recursos para obligar al gobierno a enviar un veto aditivo. Y cuarto, que la Concertación dé los votos para salvar los dineros de Educación, pero dejando en claro su molestia por una oferta insuficiente.

Durante la mañana y pasado el mediodía, Bulnes, quien desde temprano se instaló en la sala de ministros del Senado, sostuvo conversaciones con senadores opositores, entre ellos, Zaldívar. Luego de ello, el ministro se reunió con los independientes Carlos Bianchi y Carlos Cantero, a quienes también entregó la última propuesta.

Poco más tarde, Bulnes y el titular de la Segpres, Cristián Larroulet, almorzaron con senadores oficialistas, a quienes transmitieron una visión optimista frente al escenario que podría configurarse en lo que resta de la tramitación.

En ese marco, el gobierno redobló la presión a los parlamentarios opositores. A primera hora, el ministro de Hacienda, Felipe Larraín, señaló que el aumento del presu- puesto educacional -en comparación con el 2011- ascendería a más de US$ 1.000 millones. Horas después, Bulnes reforzó el mismo mensaje.

Preescolar: Adelanta cobertura a más vulnerables

ULTIMA PROPUESTA

Se propone acelerar la meta de cobertura de pre kinder, para llegar al año 2014 (y no al 2018) a atender el 100% de los niños del 40% más vulnerable.

Se propone alcanzar cobertura universal al año 2016 en prekinder y kinder para los alumnos del 60% más vulnerable.

Se propone incrementar en 10.000 vacantes por cada año para el 2013, 2014 y 2015 la atención de sala cuna y jardín infantil.

Se propone incrementar los recursos para poder atender a más niños cuyas madres lo requieran por su trabajo en extensión horaria. Los puntos anteriores implican recursos adicionales por US$ 61 millones.

Incremento de 10% de subvención NT1 y NT2: + US$ 25 mil, por lo tanto, el incremento de recursos para educación preescolar sería de US$ 86 millones.

MODIFICACIONES

Las nuevas modificaciones presentadas por el gobierno aceleran la incorporación a la educación preescolar de los niños provenientes de los sectores más vulnerables.

Destaca el hecho que adelanta el compromiso de lograr la universalidad para prekinder del 2018 al 2014.

Esto es importante porque, en la actualidad, hay 80 mil niños matriculados en sala cuna, lo que corresponde a sólo el 20% de los niños en edad preescolar. Aún quedan 330 mil niños sin cobertura.

La nueva propuesta cumple el compromiso firmado por el gobierno en 2011, respecto de universalizar la cobertura de kinder para los dos primeros quintiles al 2014 y establece alcanzar el 60% más vulnerable el 2016. Esta última fue una prioridad que estaba en el programa Chile Crece Contigo, que se lanzó durante el gobierno de Michelle Bachelet.

Educación Escolar: Aumento del 6,4% al 8%

ULTIMA PROPUESTA

Crecimiento subvención escolar

- Crecimiento el 2012 del 8% en vez del 6,4% contemplado en el Presupuesto: US$ 102 millones. 2 Aumentar la subvención SEP para 5to. y 6to. (de 2/3 a 3/3): US$ 60 millones. 3Aumentar 5% subvención ruralidad: US$ 10 millones. 4 Incremento 10% subvención NT1 y NT2: US$ 25 mil.

Incremento en gasto Educación Media Técnico- Profesional

- Recuperar niveles reales de Presupuesto en equipamiento del 2010 y mantener ese nivel para 2013 y 2014: US$ 16 millones. 2 Se propone aumento adicional: US$ 4 millones para capacitación.

Incremento en infraestructura escolar

- Recuperar niveles reales del presupuesto en liceos tradicionales del 2010. Implica US$ 19 millones.

Transparencia

- Exigir que establecimientos que reciben aportes del Estado publiquen su información financiera.

MODIFICACIONES

A nivel de Concertación destacan que se comprometa una ley para incrementar la subvención escolar de un 6,4% a 8%, especificando las partidas destinadas a la Subvención Escolar Preferencial y a la Subvención vinculada a Ruralidad.

Un punto importante a nivel de equidad es que las Becas de Excelencia Académica (BEA), que benefician al 5% mejor de cada generación, ahora favorecerá al 7,5% mejor de los colegios municipales y subvencionados. En cifras reales, hoy se estima que 5.000 alumnos son beneficiados por las BEA y quedan fuera 5.000. El incremento de becas aumentará en unos 2.500 los alumnos beneficiados.

El proyecto de transparencia propuesto involucra a todos los que reciben recursos públicos, incluye al 40% de colegios que existen en el país y que son subvencionados: 4.100 colegios de más de 10 mil.

Educación Superior: 5% aumento en aportes basalesUltima propuesta

ULTIMA PROPUESTA

Transparencia: Mientras entre en operación la Superintendencia de Educación Superior, las universidades privadas con aportes del Estado deberán, antes del 30 de junio: remitir al Mineduc sus estados financieros del 2011 y un listado actualizado de sus socios.

Incremento aportes basales. Aporte Fiscal Directo. Crecimiento del 5% real el 2012 y siguientes, permitiendo así duplicar nominalmente el AFD en 10 años, de US$ 325 millones a US$ 650 millones. Tiene un costo de 17 millones al 2012.

Creación de aportes basales para universidades estatales. US$ 25 millones el 2012, creciendo 5% anual después.

Creación de fondo de apoyo a la Educación Superior Regional: Creado en Presupuesto de 2012 se incrementarán de US$ 5 millones a US$ 10 millones. Estos recursos serán destinados a instituciones del Cruch.

Crédito con Aval del Estado contingente al ingreso: Contingencia al 10% de ingresos, 20 años y tasa del 2% real anual a partir del año 2012.

Creación de becas al quintil 3. Se propone becar desde el 2012 a todos los estudiantes que estén estudiando o que ingresen a estudiar a instituciones del Cruch con una beca equivalente al 50% del arancel de referencia de 2012, llegando la beca al 100% de dicho arancel de referencia el 2013. ($ 1.800.000). Se propone becar desde 2012 a todos los estudiantes que ingresen a estudian en universidades privadas, CFT e institutos profesionales, con montos equivalentes al 50% de las becas que hoy reciben (Beca Juan Gómez Millas, Beca Nuevo Milenio) y el año 2013 alcanzar una beca equivalente al 100% de ellas.

Ampliación de beca de excelencia académica: para estudiantes del 7,5% de mejor resultado en su establecimiento. Se hará extensiva a 10% a partir del 2013. Costo: US$ 6 millones el 2012.

MODIFICACIONES

El incremento de los aportes basales a las universidades era una de las principales demandas de la oposición, de los líderes estudiantiles y de los rectores. Las filas opositoras solicitaban un aumento de 10% de Aporte Fiscal Directo para el 2012, con el objetivo de enfrentar la actual crisis, y de 5% para los años sucesivos. La propuesta del Ejecutivo entregada la semana pasada concedía ya un 5% de aumento en el AFD para el próximo año, comprometiendo la misma cifra para los próximos 10 años, con el objetivo de duplicar su actual monto. Ahora, además, aumenta los recursos de aportes basales para universidades estatales, en general, a US$ 25 millones .

Tanto la oposición como el movimiento estudiantil habían levantado críticas al Crédito con Aval del Estado, a quien responsabilizan del sobreendeudamiento del sistema. En su última oferta, el Ejecutivo formaliza una propuesta que ya había esbozado la semana pasada, para crear un sistema de créditos que vincula su pago a los niveles de ingreso de los egresados, como ocurre en el caso del Fondo Solidario, y establece un plazo de caducidad.

Frente a la demanda de que el Estado se haga cargo de la administración de todo el sistema de créditos y becas, el gobierno se abre en su última propuesta a que una entidad estatal se haga cargo de la administración en el caso de los créditos.

El documento entregado ayer precisa el mecanismo mediante el cual operará la gradualidad con la que se pretende ampliar la cobertura de las becas hasta el 60% de los estudiantes más vulnerables.

Los recursos que están en juego

Alrededor de $ 2,75 billones, que significan un 46% del presupuesto total del Mineduc, se encuentran en juego en la tramitación presupuestaria. Sin embargo, debido a la magnitud del monto y sus implicancias, en el oficialismo creen que es poco probable que se rechace.

Además de afectar las ayudas estudiantiles, la medida dejería sin sueldo a los trabajadores a honorarios y a contrata de todos los servicios dependientes. Y cortaría el financiamiento a instituciones bajo el presupuesto de la Dibam, como el Museo de la Memoria, la Fundación Frei, la Fundación de la Solidaridad Salvador Allende y el Parque Villa Grimaldi.


Fuente:

Saludos
Rodrigo González Fernández
Diplomado en "Responsabilidad Social Empresarial" de la ONU
Diplomado en "Gestión del Conocimiento" de la ONU
Diplomado en Gerencia en Administracion Publica ONU
Diplomado en Coaching Ejecutivo ONU( 
  • PUEDES LEERNOS EN FACEBOOK
 
 
 
 CEL: 93934521
Santiago- Chile
Soliciten nuestros cursos de capacitación  y consultoría en GERENCIA ADMINISTRACION PUBLICA -LIDERAZGO -  GESTION DEL CONOCIMIENTO - RESPONSABILIDAD SOCIAL EMPRESARIAL – LOBBY – COACHING EMPRESARIAL-ENERGIAS RENOVABLES   ,  asesorías a nivel nacional e  internacional y están disponibles  para OTEC Y OTIC en Chile

Monday, November 21, 2011

Department of Agriculture

Department of Agriculture

 

The Department of Agriculture provides an array of subsidy programs for farmers and imposes extensive regulations on agricultural markets. It operates food assistance programs, such as the food stamp and school lunch programs, and it administers many subsidy programs for rural parts of the nation. The Forest Service also forms part of the Department of Agriculture.

The department will spend $152 billion in 2011, or more than $1,200 for every U.S. household. It operates about 235 subsidy programs and employs 98,000 workers in about 7,000 offices across the country.


Timeline of Government Growth

  • See this timeline for key events in the department's growth.

Reading Room

Cato Experts

Spending Cuts Summary

Downsize This!

  • Agricultural Subsidies. The department provides up to $30 billion annually to farmers of corn, cotton, rice, soybeans, wheat, and other crops. It also aids farmers with research, loan, and insurance programs.
  • Agricultural Regulations and Trade Barriers. The government regulates domestic markets for products such as sugar and milk, and it imposes trade restrictions on various farm products.
  • Rural Subsidies. The department operates a range of subsidy programs for businesses and individuals living in rural areas.
  • Food Subsidies. Most of the department's budget goes toward food subsidies, including the food stamp and school lunch programs.
  • Forest Service. The Forest Service oversees 193 million acres of forests and provides subsidies to businesses and state governments.

"Cato is on the right track with its proposals to downsize the USDA. Many of the department's programs originated in the Great Depression and are completely out of date and no longer needed, if they ever were. Downsizing the USDA would help move American agriculture into the 21st century."

- John R. Norton, Deputy Secretary of Agriculture, 1985-1986


Fuente:

Saludos
Rodrigo González Fernández
Diplomado en "Responsabilidad Social Empresarial" de la ONU
Diplomado en "Gestión del Conocimiento" de la ONU
Diplomado en Gerencia en Administracion Publica ONU
Diplomado en Coaching Ejecutivo ONU( 
  • PUEDES LEERNOS EN FACEBOOK
 
 
 
 CEL: 93934521
Santiago- Chile
Soliciten nuestros cursos de capacitación  y consultoría en GERENCIA ADMINISTRACION PUBLICA -LIDERAZGO -  GESTION DEL CONOCIMIENTO - RESPONSABILIDAD SOCIAL EMPRESARIAL – LOBBY – COACHING EMPRESARIAL-ENERGIAS RENOVABLES   ,  asesorías a nivel nacional e  internacional y están disponibles  para OTEC Y OTIC en Chile

Can the Underground Economy Save Europe?

Can the Underground Economy Save Europe?

Mises Daily: Monday, November 21, 2011 by

A
A
"The growth of unofficial employment is an entrepreneurial response to unnecessarily rigid labor markets and excess regulation."

As the old saying goes, the more expensive you are to fire, the more expensive you are to hire. Nowhere is this more apparent than on the European continent.

Even with the United States' lengthening of unemployment insurance benefits at the wake of this crisis, the benefits for the standard down-on-his-luck American pale in comparison to those of the average European. Upon job separation the average Frenchman can expect to see more than half of his salary extended in the form of unemployment benefits. Many European workers see these benefits extended for two to three years after their termination, with some countries extending benefits indefinitely.

Spells of unemployment are consequently prolonged on the European continent. Strict laws governing the separation of employees from companies (a nice way to say, "You're fired") lower the rate of job separation in these countries. Unfortunately, these laws also decrease the rate of job finding, resulting in the prolonged unemployment durations evident.

This problem of unemployed masses was no more than an unfortunate consequence of a well-developed social-welfare system during the boom years. Government coffers were plush to pay out hefty benefits. As the crisis wears on, this unfortunate side effect is increasingly turning into an oncoming train wreck as government deficits widen and welfare payments strain already tenuous state finances.

Decreasing benefits may be unfortunate to those relying on them, but such cuts are inevitable. Already some countries have enacted measures to try to bring these unsustainable systems closer to sustainability. The retirement age has been extended to reduce social-security payments, and unemployment benefits have been cut. People have responded with protests, trying to maintain the standard of living that they fought so hard to achieve over the past decades. Unfortunately, not all things desirable are feasible — Europe's plush welfare system is a case in point.

Fortunately there is a silver lining. In most European countries, and especially in the crisis-stricken periphery, large underground economies exist. While Spain's official unemployment rate is pegged around 20 percent, a substantial portion of its workers are indeed employed, if only outside official statistics. As I outline in a new collection I've edited, Institutions in Crisis: European Perspectives on the Recession, the underground economies of Europe's periphery provide ample (if not always desirable) opportunities for employment. While the Greek economy has the largest underground estimated at 25.2 percent of GDP, the PIGS countries (Portugal, Italy, Greece, and Spain) average 21.7 percent of their economic activity hidden from the official statistics. For comparison, 14.7 percent of German, and 7.8 percent of American output is estimated to be confined to the underground.

If substantial masses of officially unemployed workers can take solace in knowing that there exist large underground venues for their efforts, we may do well to outline the reasons why this unofficial option exists. Hans Sennholz, in his work The Underground Economy, lists four main categories of underground economy activity:

  1. that portion evading taxes,
  2. that portion violating laws or production standards,
  3. production from transfer beneficiaries barred from otherwise partaking in pecuniary-enhancing activities (welfare recipients for example), and
  4. production from illegal aliens.

While many people assume that the underground economy consists purely of tax evaders and drug dealers, we see that only two of the categories above allow for these groups. That is not to say that underground workers in the other categories do not evade taxes or sell elicit substances. It is to say that the main reason for their involvement outside of the official economy is neither of those reasons.

Europe's underground economies have seen much growth over the past 30 years, especially since this crisis began. In some ways the growth of unofficial employment is an entrepreneurial response to unnecessarily rigid labor markets and excess regulation. Evidence suggests that industry in at least two of our prime culprits have benefited from the expansion of the underground economy. Growing underground economy employment has allowed Italian and Spanish firms to expand and contract production more easily to market demands.

There is an increased emphasis on reallocating the underground economy into the official one as Europe's crisis progresses. The most commonly advocated method involves more frequent tax audits and heavier fines to incentivize entrepreneurs to report their full incomes to the official authorities. The problem with such a solution is that it ignores the core reason why the underground economy exists — and may very well strengthen its existence.

Entrepreneurs operate in the unofficial economy for two main reasons: taxes make official transactions unprofitable, or regulations make them unfeasible. Threats of increased monetary fines do nothing to alleviate the former reason, while only a reduction in the web of rules and regulations will reduce the latter.

Increased fines and audits will undoubtedly reduce the size of the underground economy. Entrepreneurs, even underground ones, will respond to the increased costs and risks by reducing the scope of their activities. This reduction will not translate into an increase in official market activity. Only by easing the regulatory and tax burden facing entrepreneurs will more of them be willing to operate in the official economy.

Instead of viewing Europe's underground economies as bad things, policy makers would do well to start viewing them for what they are: an important signal that old interventionist policies have failed. If one views large underground economies as inherently bad, one must also deem the policies that breed their existence to be bad.

 

Saludos
Rodrigo González Fernández
Diplomado en "Responsabilidad Social Empresarial" de la ONU
Diplomado en "Gestión del Conocimiento" de la ONU
Diplomado en Gerencia en Administracion Publica ONU
Diplomado en Coaching Ejecutivo ONU( 
  • PUEDES LEERNOS EN FACEBOOK
 
 
 
 CEL: 93934521
Santiago- Chile
Soliciten nuestros cursos de capacitación  y consultoría en GERENCIA ADMINISTRACION PUBLICA -LIDERAZGO -  GESTION DEL CONOCIMIENTO - RESPONSABILIDAD SOCIAL EMPRESARIAL – LOBBY – COACHING EMPRESARIAL-ENERGIAS RENOVABLES   ,  asesorías a nivel nacional e  internacional y están disponibles  para OTEC Y OTIC en Chile

lawyerschile: The Goldman Rule: Don't Let This Puppet Master Pull Your Strings

The Goldman Rule: Don't Let This Puppet Master Pull Your Strings

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS) Chief Executive Officer Lloyd Blankfein was really on a roll speaking at an investment conference in New York last week.

Among other things, he said there's no way we can conclude that a slowdown in banking and trading businesses is "secular, rather than cyclical."

That alone was enough to make me laugh. But then he went on to address concerns about pending regulations that are coming as a result of the Dodd-Frank Financial Reform Act.

"In our conversations with clients, they have expressed several concerns on the impact to their businesses," Blankfein said, making it clear that his firm will make client interests a theme of its arguments against the regulations. "What Goldman Sachs does for our clients is even more relevant and important."

Now that should make you laugh - if, of course, you're not too afraid.

The truth is that Goldman Sachs and the rest of the big banks on Wall Street - in the inimitable words of author Michael Lewis from his seminal book Liar's Poker - invariably "blow up" customers to make money for themselves.

Not only do they run roughshod over their customers (trading partners) and clients (banking relationships), the big banks manipulate markets, industries, economies and countries to fatten their already gigantic bonus pools and personal fortunes.

Now, I'm not singling out Goldman Sachs because it's the biggest and baddest bully on the block, which it is. I'm not blasting Goldman because I once idolized the firm - its culture, its talent, its sheer money-making prowess - and have seen its vision blinded by greed since going public in 1999. I'm not saying Goldman is the only self-serving, greedy, and pretentious firm on Wall Street. And, I'm certainly not calling out Lloyd Blankfein, whose extraordinary accomplishments as a trader are legendary, but whose leadership of Goldman has been marred by what might generously be described as "PR gaffes."

What I am doing is using Goldman as proof positive that Wall Street banks are bad news.

In fact, rather than seeing them rebound we would all be better off seeing them unwound.

From Wall Street to K Street - And Back

Let me start with the nexus of power and money in this country. That nexus resides exactly where Wall Street and Washington intersect. Each serves the other and the middle-class be damned.

You see, the "revolving door" metaphor that's so often used to describe the relationship between Wall Street and Washington isn't exactly accurate.

The reality is that there is no revolving door. There are no doors at all. It is more like one giant corridor where all the water cooler talk is about paying for campaigns, paying lobbyists, and paying bonuses.

There's a reason why Goldman Sachs is derisively referred to as "Government Sachs." The flow of executives and operatives between Goldman and Washington, and even other world governments and central banks for that matter, is legendary.

I can't point out all the connections - there are simply too many. But I will point out a few that you may not be aware of.

How about Robert Rubin - the former Goldman co-CEO who became Treasury Secretary in the Clinton administration? From that post, Rubin squashed all regulations pertaining to derivatives, and ended Depression-era laws like the Glass-Steagall Act (which separated commercial banks from investment banks) so giant Citicorp could be formed by the merger of Travelers and Citibank. Rubin then went to Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C), where he made some $119 million while leveraging the bank up with derivatives before it had to be bailed out.

Bailed out by whom? Bailed out by then Treasury Secretary Henry M. "Hank" Paulson, himself a former Goldman CEO.

And bailed out how? With the help of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, whose chairman was Steve Friedman, a former Goldman partner, still on Goldman's board.

That's the same Steve Friedman who bought $3 million worth of Goldman shares based on allegedly inside information he garnered at the Fed and from Goldman's board meetings, profited handsomely, and had to resign from the Fed board -- but not give any of his profits back.

And finally, Goldman itself had to be bailed out when it ran to the Fed on a Sunday in September 2008 to beg to be turned from an investment bank to a bank holding company so it could get Fed cash.

The Usual Suspects

There are innumerable connections and fascinating stories. So, I won't bore you with the one about Goldman arranging a currency swap at an apparently "fictitious" exchange rate for the government of Greece. Nor how that swap facilitated Greece hiding its debts to get into the Eurozone, so it could then borrow euros ad nauseam until it had to be bailed out - again and again.

I'm not going there. Because if I did I'd have to get into how precariously positioned the new "technocrats" -- who are supposed to save Italy with the help of the ECB -- actually are.

And who are they?

Well, there's Mario Draghi, the new president of the ECB. Super Mario, it turns out, was Vice Chairman and Managing Director of Goldman Sachs International, and a member of the firm-wide management committee from 2002 to 2005. He claims to have not been responsible for the Greek currency swap, saying it was arranged before he went to Goldman. But he's never denied it.

That's comforting.

If he runs the ECB the same way Goldman runs its business, there might be some areas where transparency may not be the order of the day. And isn't that exactly what a central bank is supposed to be about?

If I had more time here I'd mention that Mario Monti, prime minister-designate of Italy, not only was a European Commissioner, but an international adviser to Goldman Sachs.

I'm just comforted to know that these old buddies are all still manipulating global finances for the betterment of our interests and the Goldman bonus pool this fiscal year or next.

Customer Service

I'm also not going to get into how Goldman set American International Group Inc. (NYSE: AIG) up to fail, or how the New York Fed made the firm whole on the credit default swaps it had written on AIG. Nor will I get into how Goldman board member Rajat Gupta allegedly passed along boardroom secrets to his friend and Goldman customer Raj Rajaratnam (now serving time for insider trading), or how the Justice Department is looking into how Goldman teed-up millions of investors and hit a hole in one when the mortgage market failed and they were short.

I'm only going to point to one small incident that proves Goldman really does have the interest of its clients at heart.

Back in 2007 Goldman constructed a little billion-dollar deal for a customer named John Paulson. Only the firm didn't tell its other customers, the ones to which it sold the Paulson deal known as Abacus 2007-AC1, that the deal was designed to fail.

Paulson made out like a bandit because he bet against the deal. Now that's good customer service.

Goldman didn't admit any wrongdoing and paid a paltry $550 million fine, which in terms of its 2009 earnings amounted to 15 days worth of register ringing.

So, let me get this right: Goldman, and the rest of its big bank brethren, are all about their customers. And they want their customers to go to bat for them with the regulators.

I suppose it was those nasty regulators that caused the whole credit crisis and the Great Recession in the first place.

And I guess that means that if Goldman, with the help of its customers, can get all those pesky regulators out of the way, we'd all finally be free to do business and live happily ever after - especially Goldman and the rest of big banks, of course.


 

Saludos
Rodrigo González Fernández
Diplomado en "Responsabilidad Social Empresarial" de la ONU
Diplomado en "Gestión del Conocimiento" de la ONU
Diplomado en Gerencia en Administracion Publica ONU
Diplomado en Coaching Ejecutivo ONU( 
  • PUEDES LEERNOS EN FACEBOOK
 
 
 
 CEL: 93934521
Santiago- Chile
Soliciten nuestros cursos de capacitación  y consultoría en GERENCIA ADMINISTRACION PUBLICA -LIDERAZGO -  GESTION DEL CONOCIMIENTO - RESPONSABILIDAD SOCIAL EMPRESARIAL – LOBBY – COACHING EMPRESARIAL-ENERGIAS RENOVABLES   ,  asesorías a nivel nacional e  internacional y están disponibles  para OTEC Y OTIC en Chile

Tuesday, November 15, 2011

Economic Law vs. Occupy Wall Street

Economic Law vs. Occupy Wall Street

Mises Daily: Tuesday, November 15, 2011 by

A
A
Duh!

In their 1995 book, Myth and Measurement: The New Economics of the Minimum Wage, David Card and Alan Krueger argued that increases in the minimum wage in Pennsylvania and New Jersey in the early 1990s not only did not lead to unemployment, as classical economic theory would predict, but actually coincided with an increase in employment.

As it turns out, there were many problems with the Card and Krueger study. But even before these problems came to light, economists who understood that the laws of supply and demand are just that — laws — immediately disregarded the study. Nobel Laureate James Buchanan, writing in the Wall Street Journal, argued,

The inverse relationship between quantity demanded and price is the core proposition in economic science, which embodies the presupposition that human choice behavior is sufficiently rational to allow predictions to be made. Just as no physicist would claim that "water runs uphill," no self-respecting economist would claim that increases in the minimum wage increase employment. Such a claim, if seriously advanced, becomes equivalent to a denial that there is even minimal scientific content in economics, and that, in consequence, economists can do nothing but write as advocates for ideological interests. Fortunately, only a handful of economists are willing to throw over the teaching of two centuries; we have not yet become a bevy of camp-following whores.[1]

Buchanan's quote is relevant today because some Harvard students are upset that not all of their economics professors are yet a bevy of Occupy Wall Street–following whores. Citing Professor Greg Mankiw's classical analysis of the minimum wage as one of their grievances, a group of students recently walked out of Mankiw's introductory micro course to join an Occupy protest in Boston. (Apparently spoiled Harvard kids who can't stand even listening to an opposing view are the 99 percent.)

The protestors probably should have stayed in class, though, because their open letter to Mankiw betrays a formidable level of economic ignorance. When they write, for example, "There is no justification for presenting Adam Smith's economic theories as more fundamental or basic than, for example, Keynesian theory," they expose themselves as blissfully unaware that the modern neoclassical economics that Mankiw teaches owes far more to Alfred Marshall than Adam Smith, and that Keynesianism is a school of macroeconomic thought, unlikely to be covered in their microeconomics course.  It's highly doubtful, therefore, that any of these students have actually taken the time to understand the logic behind the laws of supply and demand and how this logic applies to labor markets.

But that doesn't matter to radical leftists. Logic in economics is irrelevant to them. As Mises explained, to defend their irrational theories they "attack logic and reason and substitute mystical intuition for ratiocination."[2] That's why they protest viewpoints they don't like instead of engaging with and critiquing them. And that's why they shout down dissenters in their creepy chanting assemblies. Independent thought is a threat to them.

That this demonstration took place at Harvard, where Democrat professors outnumber Republican ones by 7-1 (and that's not even counting the Marxists who aren't registered as Democrats), is indicative of the leftism that drives the Occupy protests. It's apparently not enough that these students will never encounter a conservative or libertarian viewpoint in any of their other classes. No, they must be shielded from any professor whatsoever who might challenge one of their prejudices against the free market. Even if that professor once wrote, as Mankiw did, "If you were going to turn to only one economist to understand the problems facing the economy, there is little doubt that the economist would be John Maynard Keynes." If he holds any pro-market views at all, apparently, he must be boycotted.

Mankiw himself lamely addressed the walkout by telling the Harvard Crimson,

While I do not share the specific views of the Occupy Wall Street movement, I am delighted to see students engaged in thinking broadly about social and economic policy. I hope that [Econ 10] can help contribute to [that] ongoing discussion.

But the students who are walking out of his class are not "thinking broadly about social and economic policy." They are thinking narrowly. They are refusing to engage alternative opinions. They are refusing to even try to understand how the economic world works before they go out and tell everyone how to fix it.

Speaking of the anarcho-communist faction of the New Left in the 1970s, Murray Rothbard wrote,

It is no crime to be ignorant of economics, which is, after all, a specialized discipline and one that most people consider to be a "dismal science." But it is totally irresponsible to have a loud and vociferous opinion on economic subjects while remaining in this state of ignorance. Yet this sort of aggressive ignorance is inherent in the creed of anarcho-communism.

He could have just as easily said, "This sort of aggressive ignorance is inherent in the creed of the Occupy Wall Street movement." It doesn't matter to them that no serious economist would claim that increases in the minimum wage increase employment, just as no serious physicist would claim that "water runs uphill." All they care about is ideological conformity, even if that means reducing the economics profession to a "bevy of camp-following whores."

Fuente:

Saludos
Rodrigo González Fernández
Diplomado en "Responsabilidad Social Empresarial" de la ONU
Diplomado en "Gestión del Conocimiento" de la ONU
Diplomado en Gerencia en Administracion Publica ONU
Diplomado en Coaching Ejecutivo ONU( 
  • PUEDES LEERNOS EN FACEBOOK
 
 
 
 CEL: 93934521
Santiago- Chile
Soliciten nuestros cursos de capacitación  y consultoría en GERENCIA ADMINISTRACION PUBLICA -LIDERAZGO -  GESTION DEL CONOCIMIENTO - RESPONSABILIDAD SOCIAL EMPRESARIAL – LOBBY – COACHING EMPRESARIAL-ENERGIAS RENOVABLES   ,  asesorías a nivel nacional e  internacional y están disponibles  para OTEC Y OTIC en Chile

Wednesday, November 09, 2011

The Clear Language of the Austrian School

The Clear Language of the Austrian School

Mises Daily: Wednesday, November 09, 2011 by

A
A
Bastiat, Menger, Rothbard

Life's twists and turns will take a person on journeys he would never imagine. A kid from rural Kansas growing up where people simply speak their minds, all the while lacking the fancy elocution offered by supposedly highly educated city folk, couldn't imagine a school of economics offered clearly and simply.

Indeed the Austrian tradition of clear and sound economics is a long one. In the early 19th century, Frenchman Frédéric Bastiat took up where the Spanish Scholastics left off. As the brilliant wordsmith and Wall Street analyst Jim Grant explains,

Because nobody else can understand them, modern economists speak to one another. They gossip in algebra and remonstrate in differential calculus. And when the pungently correct mathematical equation doesn't occur to them, they awkwardly fall back on the English language, like a middle-aged American trying to remember his high-school Spanish. The economist Frédéric Bastiat, who lived in the first half of the 19th century, wrote in French, not symbols. But his words — forceful, clear and witty — live to this day.

The modern dean of the Austrian School, Murray Rothbard himself, wrote,

Bastiat was indeed a lucid and superb writer, whose brilliant and witty essays and fables to this day are remarkable and devastating demolitions of protectionism and of all forms of government subsidy and control. He was a truly scintillating advocate of an untrammeled free market.

Bastiat's wisdom has gone unheeded. The modern world is anything but a free market. It is blanketed with volumes of regulations while forced to operate under the regime of fiat money, central-bank interest-rate setting, and monetary pumping. The economy lurches through a continuous maze of distortions — soaring asset bubbles followed by gut-wrenching crashes — and lingering high unemployment and inflation masked by understated official statistics issued by government agencies.

While most of the public sees and believes what the government wants them to see, Austrians take Bastiat to heart, as Rothbard makes clear:

In this way, the "economist," Bastiat's third-level observer, vindicates common sense and refutes the apologia for destruction of the pseudo-sophisticate. He considers what is not seen as well as what is seen. Bastiat, the economist, is the truly sophisticated analyst.

I was 12 hours into my master's degree in economics from UNLV when Rothbard walked through the door already talking (as if he had started his lecture out in the hallway) about dumb politicians threatening the evil oil companies that were raising gas prices. From that thought, he just continued right into his history-of-economic-thought lecture. He didn't take roll or hand out a syllabus. Murray didn't have time for that; he had centuries of history to cover.

As Murray barreled through his opening lecture for ECO742, I knew that this was economics the way it should be taught. Forget the graphs, equations, and other nonsense I'd merely endured my first two semesters; this was the real stuff: good guys versus bad guys, human action stories told at the pace of a Robin Williams monologue, punctuated with the occasional cackle and a dozen or so reading recommendations per night — book title, author, year published, and usually the publisher name.

Rothbard's history-of-thought lectures in the fall of 1990 provided a financial-history emphasis that piqued my interest in financial bubbles and crashes. This would ultimately be the subject of my master's thesis and give me an understanding of the greatest financial meltdown in modern history — which I would soon live through in my professional life.

Rothbard's mentor, Ludwig von Mises, developed the Austrian business-cycle theory over 100 years ago. Mises had become an economist after reading Carl Menger's Principles of Economics, published in 1871. "Until the end of the Seventies there was no 'Austrian School.' There was only Carl Menger," Mises explains. It's no surprise that the Austrian School's founder started as a journalist and wrote a number of comedies and novels.

It was through the Austrian lens that I explored Tulipmania and the Mississippi and South Sea bubbles in writing a thesis under Rothbard's and Hans-Hermann Hoppe's direction. But at my day job, Mises's lesson was lost while I was busy lending in the heat of the real-estate bubble of the early 2000s. Financial bubbles are much easier to see from the outside looking in than the inside looking out, with the timing impossible to calculate.

In the wake of the 9/11 attacks the Federal Reserve slashed interest rates, with the federal-funds rate pushed down to 1 percent by 2003 from 6.5 percent in 2000. Keeping rates at rock bottom for a year would generate a speculative boom in real estate the likes of which America had never seen. And the city where Rothbard had taught until his death in 1995 — and Hoppe until his retirement in 2006 — was a steaming cauldron of real-estate speculation.

Just as Mises had predicted a coming depression during the heyday of the roaring '20s, Austrians like Mark Thornton saw danger lurking behind the boom, writing "Housing: Too Good to Be True" in June 2004.

In Las Vegas, land prices rose eightfold and housing prices tripled. More than 200 people a day moved to the new boom town, and $40 billion in new casino-resort development was started as the real-estate and stock-market booms spread throughout the country.

The city that was half a million people when Rothbard, Hoppe, and I arrived in 1986 had grown to 2 million a couple decades later, with the experts claiming Las Vegas would grow to 4 million in another 20 years.

Austrians knew the Federal Reserve's interest-rate manipulation had engendered the boom, but Fed chair Alan Greenspan pooh-poohed the notion of a nationwide bubble in 2002:

The ongoing strength in the housing market has raised concerns about the possible emergence of a bubble in home prices. However, the analogy often made to the building and bursting of a stock price bubble is imperfect.

Three years later, it was Ben Bernanke's turn to deny there was a housing bubble when questioned:

Well, I guess I don't buy your premise. It's a pretty unlikely possibility. We've never had a decline in house prices on a nationwide basis. So what I think is more likely is that house prices will slow, maybe stabilize: might slow consumption spending a bit. I don't think it's going to drive the economy too far from its full employment path, though.

However, the Fed chair had already begun raising rates to cool the hot market. And as Austrian business-cycle theory would predict, home prices peaked in 2006, with the stock market, commercial property, and land prices following suit a year later. Despite a furious reversal on the part of the central bank to inject liquidity into the system, the cleansing of the malinvestments produced by excessive central-bank credit continues grudgingly as I write. The Fed, along with other federal-government interventions, impedes the recovery's process with ground-hugging interest rates along with programs intending to prop up the price of assets that in actuality require further price correction.

Austrians have explained the crash and the lack of recovery in plain and simple language. Rothbard makes clear that the government must retreat, allowing consumer preferences to dictate what is to be produced, not government policy. The collective time preference must dictate interest rates, not government central banks. But alas, we remain in the morass. Government will not take its hand from the tiller.

A new generation of students seeks the truth delivered plainly, using clear words and logic, rather than muddled graphs, impenetrable equations, and double-talk. Students are ready to be amazed as I was 20 years ago by Rothbard's wisdom and wit, amplified with Hoppe's laser-like logic.

While Keynesians, monetarists, and the like communicate with each other via indecipherable code printed in academic journals that exist to gather dust in vacant college libraries, Austrians continue to explain what's happening in the real world. The world that matters. Where individuals seek better lives through purposeful action. Where mutual exchange benefits both parties. Where government distorts and destroys while, at the same time, private firms and entrepreneurs work tirelessly to make our lives richer and fuller.

The great tradition and thinking that began in Vienna so many years ago is now a worldwide movement that not only educates millions of students of all ages but also provides hope of a better life for millions of people around the world. The Austrian framework provides a roadmap for a prosperous world: a free, peaceful, and productive world — creating a bountiful existence that is impossible to imagine. Not through applying just the right amount of government force here or there, or the right amount of regulation, or setting the proper interest rate, but by letting markets work.

 

Saludos
Rodrigo González Fernández
Diplomado en "Responsabilidad Social Empresarial" de la ONU
Diplomado en "Gestión del Conocimiento" de la ONU
Diplomado en Gerencia en Administracion Publica ONU
Diplomado en Coaching Ejecutivo ONU( 
  • PUEDES LEERNOS EN FACEBOOK
 
 
 
 CEL: 93934521
Santiago- Chile
Soliciten nuestros cursos de capacitación  y consultoría en GERENCIA ADMINISTRACION PUBLICA -LIDERAZGO -  GESTION DEL CONOCIMIENTO - RESPONSABILIDAD SOCIAL EMPRESARIAL – LOBBY – COACHING EMPRESARIAL-ENERGIAS RENOVABLES   ,  asesorías a nivel nacional e  internacional y están disponibles  para OTEC Y OTIC en Chile